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Giving & The Stock Market: Analysis

Many people are wondering how recent swings in the stock market may affect charitable giving.

The graph below shows that short-term, mid-year stock market volatility is not indicative of what happens to overall giving.

The Center on Philanthropy’s research finds that change in the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index at the end of a year is one of several predictors of giving (others include change in personal income, tax rate changes, and recent changes in actual itemized deductions).

Event & Date Change for Annual Total Itemized Giving (%) Change of the Value of S&P 500 Index (%)
Year Change Compared to Previous Year (%) Previous Week During the Day In the Following Week From the Day to Dec. 31

1 From the Day to Dec. 29

2 Since the value for 9/11 was not available the calculations are done compared to the next available day (Sept. 17)

Oil Embargo

Oct. 17, 1973
1972 1.23        
1973 5.22 0.89 -0.20 0.27 -11.29
1974 6.83        
Stock Market Crash

Oct. 19, 1987
(Black Monday)
1986 12.21        
1987 -7.80 -8.63 -20.47 1.26 9.89
1988 2.68        
Savings And Loan Crisis

Oct. 13, 1989
1988 2.68        
1989 8.85 -0.94 -6.12 4.05 5.921
1990 3.21        
9/11 Attacks

Sep. 11, 2001
2000 11.82        
2001 -1.02 -3.57 N/A -0.582 10.522
2002 0.96        
Weathering an Uncertain Economy:

What effect will the U.S. economy have on charitable giving as nonprofits gear up for the year-end giving season and 2009?

Read the article

 

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The Center is a part of the Indiana University School of Liberal Arts at Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis.

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